03/14/2025
Tomorrow, Saturday March 15, 2025 and potentially Sunday March 16, 2025 Udder Nonsense Farms will be closed due to in-climate weather. This is the message I posted to my personal page so you may have already seen it. I hope that everyone stays safe and please take the proper precautions to protect your life and property:
Alright GA/AL friends, I saw a down trend this morning and got excited but my excitement did not last. Our risk has been upgraded from a 3 to a 4, and a day 2 high risk has been added by the NWS. The NWS issuing a day 2 high risk (meaning the day before an event ) has historically ONLY happened 3 times (and all 3 times it wasnt good) The models are now showing an event more favorable of discreet supercells rather than a linear one- and this is more conducive of violent, long track tornadoes. For me, I am going to keep praying for a down trend but preparing for the worst. Everyone needs a safety plan, everyone needs to plan on sleeping below ground if possible or staying somewhere where that is possible. Have a way to receive alerts that will WAKE YOU UP. This is going to be a nocturnal event (as they often are in dixie alley) I am keeping my fingers crossed that one of the failure modes kicks in and it "busts". Also remember, that just becuase you dont experience severe weather, someone else will be tonight and tomorrow. That does not mean it was overhyped. I will message everyone I can ahead of time prior to something happening however, tomorrow night is going to be an insanely busy one so dont rely on me to follow what is happening. I am especially concerned becuase historically HRRR and NAM 3 Conus have biases that have struggled with predicting storms remaining strong once we loose day time heating, and this time they are predicting that. Please be safe everyone and prepare now.